Are You Futured Out?

March 10, 2010

A blog entry on Richard Curtis’ very good E-Reads site struck a strong chord with me today.

Curtis writes:

Until now, most folks returning from the annual (O’Reilly’s) Tools of Change conference have come away inspired and energized as the flint of old thinking met the steel of innovation. But this time publishing industry blogger Don Linn reported symptoms of future weariness. “We are in the midst of a bucketload of ‘Future of Publishing’ conferences and there is an element of conference fatigue setting in,” he writes. “There’s not much new under the sun: In the 2- 1/2 days I was there, I didn’t see or hear anything startling or revolutionary that hasn’t been discussed in other conferences or even at previous TOC’s.”

I did not attend TOC, so of course cannot offer any comments on the event, but I am beginning to suffer a serious case of future fatigue. The media continues its feeding frenzy on every trivial piece of tech news that it can uncover, largely, I believe because it has always perceived publishing in all its forms as the most important subject known to mankind. Earthquakes in Haiti and Chile. Yeah, ok, a few headlines, but what about this: “Google Reaches Books Deal With Italy.” I’ll confess: didn’t even glance at it.

The media appears to subscribe to the lyrics of a song (that I can’t seem to locate on Google). The two key lines go:

“The only thing more interesting than me…
Is me.”

My foolish dream is that the big fat tech companies, Google, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Intel et al., would jointly declare a 12 month moritorium on heavy-duty R&D and marketing expenditures and offer a portion of their billions to tech workers around the world, who would receive, for example, $40k plus cost-of-living expenses, and would commit to working in third-world countries helping to improve infrastructure, sanitation, education, health care, and a long list of other crucial problems. The money would be paid monthly to the workers; if you quit early, that’s the end of it. If you work the full year and if your supervisor rates your efforts at a minimum of 7.5/10, you receive a $8k bonus.

Oh well, enough of my fantasy. Back to reading the endless blogs, Publishers Weekly and The Economist, and thinking about how most publishing technology is only barely managing to improve this world we inhabit.

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  • http://www.materialsviews.com Tim

    If the line of the song is “The only thing that ever interests me, is me” then it’s probably I’m Bored by the Bonzo Dog Doo-Dah Band, from the album Gorilla. A great album, I may add.

  • http://www.thefutureofpublishing.com Thad McIlroy

    I had thought it was from the Bonzo Dog Doo-Dah Band, but still couldn’t find it. Still love “The Intro and the Outro” and “Can Blue Men Sing the Whites?”

    I’m still trying to decide if I prefer the original “The only thing that ever interests me, is me” to my more emphatic version.

    Thanks for catching it and writing.

  • Tom Gallienne

    Here’s an encouraging 5 minutes from Tim Berners-Lee at TED, a few weeks ago:

    http://blog.ted.com/2010/03/the_year_open_d.php

    See the reference to open data sources and “hyperlocal” print.

    What other “creative collaborations” can one forge?

  • Tom Gallienne

    Futured out?!

    As always, it’s a question of balance. Exhorted, again, to “Adapt or Die”, we fly in the face of sometimes oppressive, always highly reflexive exuberance – based on vested interest.

    There are people; like you, Thad, who are in a position to provide perspective.

    Maybe we should get Mr. O’Reilly and others to step up and declare the stakes:

    http://www.longbets.org/1

    Event planners should do a better job of positioning their gatherings. Speakers should get with the program, gathering input from paid attendees – in advance – adding as much value as resources will allow. Let the “Q” of “Q+A” precede the conference over social media.

    Conference attendance is great for most humans, so long as a participant has perspective going in.

    One seeks to avoid confabulation and groupthink, grounding oneself with trusted advisors.

    Remember that the communications industry has experienced successive waves of rapid change.

    Invoking McLuhan’s “probes”, the network is an anthropologically necessary extension of our ability to learn quickly and effectively: the “tribalization of business”.

    And wavelength seems to become shorter and shorter as we move toward “ubiquitous participation” over wireless microwave.

    That’s hot media, in EHF.

    It’s our attention span that suffers, we get bored (with too much text, he writes).

    There was a worthwhile event on WED evening (MAR 10) in NYC.

    http://www.crossmedianyc.com/

    Dr. Adam Klein presented a solid correlation between what had happened in the music industry and what is now happening in the publishing world:

    http://www.medialeaderllc.com/reset/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/AdamKlein_CrossMediaNYC_3-10-2010a.pdf

    And he included in his presentation this yuk-yuk:

    http://editorialcartoonists.com/cartoon/display.cfm/82878/

    From failing snail mail to the 12 second tweet, it’s all in the family.

    http://12seconds.tv/

    For me, here’s the main idea emerging from all events and threads: creative collaboration will emerge.

    Bet on that, and on the development of better value propositions for publishing in all its forms.

    Weltschmerz?

    Can anyone pull an action step out of this?

    “Based upon input and comments from the National Educational Broadband Service Association (NEBSA) and newspaper publishing companies, the availability of NTIA BTOP and RUS broadband stimulus programs and sovereign support of a national broadband plan it is evident that the United States is positioned to develop its existing wireless assets (2.5GHz EBS, 3.65GHz band) most effectively through partnerships of qualified national and local GSA (W)ISP’s and newspaper publishers with alliances to municipalities, cities and counties and their associated public systems and facilities currently desiring their own broadband wireless infrastructures.”

    Broadband Nation

    … … …

    Yours in differentiating the signal from the noise, being at extremely high frequency.